The rise and fall of great powers is a recurring pattern in history, demonstrating the inherently transitory nature of global order.

Factors of change – demographic, economic, environmental, technological, political, military and social – are pervasive and converging.

They are redefining the contours of the international system, necessitating significant adaptation by states.

While the pressures for change are evident, the trajectory of the new order remains highly uncertain.

CIGI’s scenarios work explores the potential architectures of global order, drawing from data-driven insights captured through global projections and trends analysis.

Our special report, Scenarios of Evolving Global Order, seeks to fill a gap between analysis of current trends and mapping potential futures by outlining five possible scenarios, and the potential pathways, for an evolving global order.

These scenarios represent a spectrum from modest reforms to complete transformation, with several plausible scenarios in between.

The analysis in this report is intended to stimulate critical thinking and discussion, with the objective of helping policymakers anticipate risks and opportunities in the development of more resilient strategies that take uncertainty and complexity into account.

For the full report, click the link from this video.